Class A Predictions 2/12/24 (Area Teams) 24 Area Teams + 4

Area 1:
Okarche
Pond Creek
Hominy
Seiling
Texhoma
The Academy

Area 2:
Sentinel
Shattuck
SW. Cov.
Drummond
Allen
Rock Creek

Area 3:
Rattan
Wright City
Weleetka
Caddo
Velma-Alma
Wilson

Area 4:
Okay
Red Oak
Ripley
Stonewall
Liberty
Riverfield

Sharing my opinions on NE / Area 4, since that’s where I’m most familiar.



#1 Okay should be back at the big house barring something totally unforeseen.



#2 The top half vying for area spots: 3 teams currently ranked. Ripley had been ranked. Summit could have been 18-20 range. And a solid Regent team that’s never an easy out. That’s 5 solid teams vying for 2 spots in area (with Okay having the other).



#3 I believe Stonewall is the most likely of the Top 8 to miss out on state. They lack deep playoff experience (which I tend to value highly). They didn’t play an overly difficult schedule this season. So, if they lose in Regionals – to either Riverfield or Liberty – I’m just not sure they are prepared to get through a highly competitive consolation bracket.



I think any of six teams could make a run in this area. In order:



Liberty – experience (& difference-maker in Cargill). I'll take Liberty over Stonewall for the 2nd spot at the big house.

Ripley – experience

Drumright – athleticism (& difference-maker). I think Ripley’s coaching / toughness / experience finds a way to slow down Bray just enough to make Drumright the odd one out. Tough draw for them…

Red Oak – I see the slightly tougher schedule with a couple of higher ranked opponents giving them the slight advantage
Riverfield - solid squad with experience, path just too much to overcome
Summit – solid squad with depth, path just too much to overcome

Area 1:
Okarche
Pond Creek
Garber
Seiling
Texhoma
Laverne

Area 2:
Sentinel
Shattuck
SW Cov
Drummond
Allen
Canute

Area 3:
Rattan
Wright City
Weleetka
Caddo
Velma-Alma
Binger-Oney

Area 4:
Okay
Red Oak
Ripley
Stonewall
Liberty
Riverfield

I basically agree with everything you are saying here. I would re rank 4-8 but they are all pretty close. Summit just beat Drumright by 8 a few days ago..This area tournament is probably going to be the toughest path. Being a Regional Champ and getting a break will play a big role? However, it feels like the past few years we have seen the Area Winners bracket Friday night loser, lose the following night as well...

Also, you HAVE to be defensively sound team once you begin playing Area Caliber teams...Texhoma does fit that bill.

It's pretty obvious you have some issue with Texhoma (I'm guessing you're from a rival school?).  That schedule is in no way soft... that's just silly. 

I think Texhomas top player was injured for a while as well. Texhoma is a legit team. Texhoma plays a soft schedule? I just don’t see it.

Area I:
Champ game- Okarche v Seiling
Consolation- Garber, Laverne, PCH, Texhoma

Area II:
Champ game- Sentinel v Allen
Consolation- Shattuck, Drummond, Cyril, Arapaho

Area III:
Champ game- Rattan v Caddo
Consolation- Wright City, AmPo, Weeletka, Velma-Alma

Area IV:
Champ game- Okay v Stonewall
Consolation- Red Oak, Quinton, Ripley, Liberty

9 B teams and not ranked ones. so tell me again how this is not soft.

TYRONE (B) 78-32 W

11/28/23 @ BOISE CITY (B) 87-41 W

12/07/23 @ FARGO-GAGE/FT. SUPPLY (A) @ Mooreland Tournament 45-34 W

12/08/23 @ TURPIN (A) @ Mooreland Tournament 60-39 W

12/09/23 @ CANUTE (A-# 14) @ Mooreland Tournament 63-56 W

12/12/23 @ TURPIN (A) 64-62 W

12/15/23 @ LAVERNE (A) 50-44 W

12/19/23 GOODWELL (B) 88-25 W

01/04/24 BOISE CITY (B) @ Hammon Tournament 65-17 W

01/05/24 HAMMON (B) @ Hammon Tournament 55-62 L

01/06/24 @ SHATTUCK (A) @ Hammon Tournament 70-64 W

01/09/24 @ 8:00 PM @ TYRONE (B) Canceled

01/11/24 @ HOOKER (2A-# 6) 45-76 L

01/16/24 BEAVER (B) 69-28 W

01/18/24 @ BLAIR (B) @ BI-County Tournament 74-36 W

01/19/24 @ MERRITT (2A) @ Bi-County 37-34 W

01/20/24 SEILING (A-# 8) @ Bi-county tournament 50-56 L

01/23/24 FELT/YARBROUGH (B) 64-42 W

01/26/24 FRONTIER (B-# 4) 58-71 L

01/27/24 GARBER (A) 60-47 W

01/30/24 @ FORGAN (B) 68-24 W

02/02/24 PCHEA Amarillo, TX 78-42 W

02/03/24 HOOKER (2A-# 3) 35-75 L

02/05/24 SHATTUCK (A)