Post by proudalum on Jan 31, 2023 11:44:53 GMT -6
Would love to hear people's thought out, respectful opinions on each area.
Greatest time of year. Good luck to all teams!
Area I
Total Ranked Teams: 6
Favorite: #4 Calumet (Best Win: A #12 Laverne)
Contenders: #8 Goodwell( Best Win: 2A #7 Hooker), #9 Leedey (Best Win: B #12 Sentinel)
Darkhorse: #16 Vici (Best Win: B #9 Leedey)
Sleepers: #13 Timberlake and #20 Lomega. These two meet Friday night. Both teams best win is vs. former ranked Class A Drummond.
Toughest Road potentially: Leedey- Regional 1st Rd vs Vici, Regional Final vs. Goodwell, Area Final vs. Calumet. (Could make same argument for Vici here)
Prediction: Vici may be more dangerous than people realize and make some noise here. I do believe Calumet will win the Area but that it won't be a cake walk. I think the health of Leedey determines the other state tourney qualifier here. I'll take Leedey in the Area Consolation just like last year when they bounced back and beat Goodwell 43-33 in same game.
Area II
Total Ranked Teams: 5
Favorite: #1 Fort Cobb-Broxton (Best Win: A #8 Boone-Apache)
Contenders: #7 Duke (Best Win: A#13 Cyril), #12 Sentinel (Best Win: A #15 Arapaho-Butler)
Darkhorse: #18 Granite (Best Win: @ B #14 Big Pasture)
Sleepers: #14 Big Pasture (Best Win: 3A unranked Frederick), Unranked Mt. View-Gotebo (Best Win: A #16 Carnegie)
Toughest Road potentially: Granite- Has to go to Mt. View-Gotebo for districts, Regional 1st Rd vs Sentinel, Regional Final vs. Duke, Area Final vs Fort Cobb-Broxton
Prediction: Granite has played both Glencoe and Calumet close while beating Big Pasture there. Don't like their draw though. They've lost to Sentinel and to Duke x2.
Sentinel vs. Duke in Regional Championship could be a great game. Fort Cobb-Broxton wins the area imo. Sentinel vs Duke round 2 for a trip to state would be interesting. I feel like whoever loses Regional Finals may come back and get revenge on Saturday in Area. I really like Sentinel but I'll take Duke in Area Consolation Finals, due to being there with experience more recently.
Area III
Total Ranked Teams: 4
Favorite: #2 Roff (Best Win: B #3 Stringtown)
Contender: #5 Buffalo Valley (Best Win: Former 2A #12 Haworth)
Darkhorse: #17 Earlsboro (Best Win: B #11 Paden 67-53 (01/27/23)
Sleepers: #11 Paden (Best Win: B #17 Earlsboro 55-48 (12/10/22)), Unranked Boswell (Best Win: 2A #19 Wister)
Toughest Road potentially: Buffalo Valley oddly enough. Scrappy Boswell for 1st round of Regionals with Paden on deck in the Regional Finals. Follow that up with Roff in Area Finals. I think Buffalo Valley will be just fine though.
Prediction: This Area is most top heavy in my opinion with two really solid teams. Earlsboro made it to Area Consolation game last year and is capable of getting back there again. I'll take Roff over Buffalo Valley in Area Finals in a good game. Think Buffalo Valley handles business the next night.
Area IV
Total Ranked Teams: 5
Favorite: #3 Stringtown (Best Win: Class A #19 Wetumka)
Contenders: #6 Kinta (Best Win: 3A #19 Heavener or B #5 Buffalo Valley (I think without their best player though) ), #10 Glencoe (Class A #10 Texhoma)
Darkhorse: #15 Stuart ( Former 2A #16 Wynnewood)
Sleeper: #18Varnum (Best Win: B #17 Earlsboro)
Toughest Road potentially: #18 Varnum- In a district with New Lima team that took them to OT beginning of year and 13-9 Agra. Win that and play Glencoe 1st rd of Regionals, followed by Kinta in Regional Finals. Stringtown would be waiting in Area Finals. Tough draw.
Prediction: I think Stringtown will win this Area. I'm curious what Glencoe team shows up in the playoffs. Glencoe vs. Kinta Regional Final would be rematch of last year when Glencoe won 34-24. Kinta seems to have played tougher schedule this year than they did last year and Glencoe hasn't been near as consistent as last year. If Glencoe is fully healthy I like them in a close one. If not then I'll take Kinta.
Any insight into these Areas and the health of teams would be awesome. Again good luck to all these kiddos, the coaches, and their respective schools.
Greatest time of year. Good luck to all teams!
Area I
Total Ranked Teams: 6
Favorite: #4 Calumet (Best Win: A #12 Laverne)
Contenders: #8 Goodwell( Best Win: 2A #7 Hooker), #9 Leedey (Best Win: B #12 Sentinel)
Darkhorse: #16 Vici (Best Win: B #9 Leedey)
Sleepers: #13 Timberlake and #20 Lomega. These two meet Friday night. Both teams best win is vs. former ranked Class A Drummond.
Toughest Road potentially: Leedey- Regional 1st Rd vs Vici, Regional Final vs. Goodwell, Area Final vs. Calumet. (Could make same argument for Vici here)
Prediction: Vici may be more dangerous than people realize and make some noise here. I do believe Calumet will win the Area but that it won't be a cake walk. I think the health of Leedey determines the other state tourney qualifier here. I'll take Leedey in the Area Consolation just like last year when they bounced back and beat Goodwell 43-33 in same game.
Area II
Total Ranked Teams: 5
Favorite: #1 Fort Cobb-Broxton (Best Win: A #8 Boone-Apache)
Contenders: #7 Duke (Best Win: A#13 Cyril), #12 Sentinel (Best Win: A #15 Arapaho-Butler)
Darkhorse: #18 Granite (Best Win: @ B #14 Big Pasture)
Sleepers: #14 Big Pasture (Best Win: 3A unranked Frederick), Unranked Mt. View-Gotebo (Best Win: A #16 Carnegie)
Toughest Road potentially: Granite- Has to go to Mt. View-Gotebo for districts, Regional 1st Rd vs Sentinel, Regional Final vs. Duke, Area Final vs Fort Cobb-Broxton
Prediction: Granite has played both Glencoe and Calumet close while beating Big Pasture there. Don't like their draw though. They've lost to Sentinel and to Duke x2.
Sentinel vs. Duke in Regional Championship could be a great game. Fort Cobb-Broxton wins the area imo. Sentinel vs Duke round 2 for a trip to state would be interesting. I feel like whoever loses Regional Finals may come back and get revenge on Saturday in Area. I really like Sentinel but I'll take Duke in Area Consolation Finals, due to being there with experience more recently.
Area III
Total Ranked Teams: 4
Favorite: #2 Roff (Best Win: B #3 Stringtown)
Contender: #5 Buffalo Valley (Best Win: Former 2A #12 Haworth)
Darkhorse: #17 Earlsboro (Best Win: B #11 Paden 67-53 (01/27/23)
Sleepers: #11 Paden (Best Win: B #17 Earlsboro 55-48 (12/10/22)), Unranked Boswell (Best Win: 2A #19 Wister)
Toughest Road potentially: Buffalo Valley oddly enough. Scrappy Boswell for 1st round of Regionals with Paden on deck in the Regional Finals. Follow that up with Roff in Area Finals. I think Buffalo Valley will be just fine though.
Prediction: This Area is most top heavy in my opinion with two really solid teams. Earlsboro made it to Area Consolation game last year and is capable of getting back there again. I'll take Roff over Buffalo Valley in Area Finals in a good game. Think Buffalo Valley handles business the next night.
Area IV
Total Ranked Teams: 5
Favorite: #3 Stringtown (Best Win: Class A #19 Wetumka)
Contenders: #6 Kinta (Best Win: 3A #19 Heavener or B #5 Buffalo Valley (I think without their best player though) ), #10 Glencoe (Class A #10 Texhoma)
Darkhorse: #15 Stuart ( Former 2A #16 Wynnewood)
Sleeper: #18Varnum (Best Win: B #17 Earlsboro)
Toughest Road potentially: #18 Varnum- In a district with New Lima team that took them to OT beginning of year and 13-9 Agra. Win that and play Glencoe 1st rd of Regionals, followed by Kinta in Regional Finals. Stringtown would be waiting in Area Finals. Tough draw.
Prediction: I think Stringtown will win this Area. I'm curious what Glencoe team shows up in the playoffs. Glencoe vs. Kinta Regional Final would be rematch of last year when Glencoe won 34-24. Kinta seems to have played tougher schedule this year than they did last year and Glencoe hasn't been near as consistent as last year. If Glencoe is fully healthy I like them in a close one. If not then I'll take Kinta.
Any insight into these Areas and the health of teams would be awesome. Again good luck to all these kiddos, the coaches, and their respective schools.